Series viewership record unlikely to be broken – LEC Winter 2025 Grand Final forecast
The LEC Winter 2025 has almost concluded, with just three matches remaining to decide the winner of the series' first event of the year. Powerhouse side G2 Esports has already reached the Grand Final, its fourth straight appearance in the summit clash, as it looks to continue its regional dominance by winning a seventh straight crown (including the Season Finals).
Down in the Lower Bracket, Fnatic and KOI will duke it out in the Semifinal, with Karmine Corp awaiting the winner in the Final. The winner of this clash will head to the Grand Final to face G2 Esports and deny the in-form side more glory. There's also €40,000 on offer for the winner, alongside a slot as the LEC's representative at the First Stand 2025, a new global tournament announced by Riot Games.
LEC Winter 2025 Grand Final Forecast
No matter the outcomes in the Lower Bracket, the tournament decider will pit some of the region's most successful sides against each other. Regarding audience reach, the best outcome is for a Grand Final between G2 Esports and Karmine Corp, as they will probably attract some of the top co-casters, including Kamel "Kameto" Kebir, the famous French streamer and co-owner of Karmine Corp.
Readers must note that Esports Charts' analysts have analysed the remaining Playoffs games to predict the potential viewership numbers for the Grand Final. A clash between G2 Esports and Karmine Corp, two of the league's most followed sides, is bound to attract high interest among audiences.
Moreover, there is the added subplot of the French side defeating its more illustrious opposition for the first in their European league rivalry. This certainly means that revenge will be on the minds of G2 Esports players in case the two teams do meet for the trophy. As a result, our predictions see this game reaching at least 740,000 Peak Viewers (PV).
The moderate-case scenario for the overall viewership at the LEC Winter 2025 will be a Grand Final encounter between G2 Esports and Fnatic. The former has been struggling off late when it comes to winning more splits in its regional league, with the sole reason being G2 Esports' recent dominance.
In fact, the last three events within the LEC bubble have involved these two sides battling it out in the Grand Final, with G2 Esports emerging as the victor each time. The side has momentum and recent history going for it, so it will be more than a hard task for Fnatic to break its recent rut against its rivals and take home the title.
Lastly, the average scenario pits G2 Esports against KOI, and perhaps the only reason this game comes below the one involving Karmine Corp is the absence of KOI owner Ibai "ibai" Llanos. The Spanish livestreaming megastar has been busy with his other successful venture, the Kings League, whose newest splits have begun across both sides of the Atlantic.
This could also affect the competition's overall numbers at the end of the Grand Final on March 2, as ibai has helped the 2024 winter split reach a wider audience and emerged as a leading figure in community casting. Nevertheless, our analysts have predicted that if G2 Esports and KOI are to clash for the trophy, it could generate over 685,000 PV.
Estimations for the potential Grand Final between G2 Esports and KOI have been made taking into consideration ibai's continued absence. There is every chance he decides to co-stream the event should his side reach the summit clash, which would undoubtedly attract a lot more viewers considering his global popularity.
The 2025 League of Legends season has quite a lot of exciting subplots across its five new regions for fans to sink their teeth into. As always, the LEC remains one of the more crucial circuits, and it remains to be seen which team makes it to the summit clash to try and stop the G2 juggernaut, and how this match will perform in terms of viewership.
Detailed Esports data at your fingertips.
Subscribe to & start exploring!
